{"id":2999421,"date":"2026-09-08T11:10:48","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T18:10:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agpnoticias.com\/news\/?p=2999421"},"modified":"2026-09-08T11:10:55","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T18:10:55","slug":"futuro-del-t-mec-enfrenta-incertidumbre-por-tensiones-politicas-en-norteamerica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agpnoticias.com\/news\/futuro-del-t-mec-enfrenta-incertidumbre-por-tensiones-politicas-en-norteamerica\/","title":{"rendered":"Futuro del T-MEC enfrenta incertidumbre por tensiones pol\u00edticas en Norteam\u00e9rica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ensenada, Baja California.- El futuro del Tratado entre M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 (T-MEC) atraviesa un momento de incertidumbre debido a que su negociaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 siendo definida principalmente por intereses geopol\u00edticos, m\u00e1s que por criterios econ\u00f3micos o jur\u00eddicos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Especialistas de CETYS Universidad se\u00f1alaron que Estados Unidos est\u00e1 modificando la pol\u00edtica comercial abierta que mantuvo durante d\u00e9cadas, con el objetivo de reducir su d\u00e9ficit comercial y recuperar empleos manufactureros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El tema fue analizado durante el webinar \u201c\u00bfQui\u00e9n define el futuro del T-MEC?\u201d, primer episodio de la serie \u201cT-MEC En Clave\u201d, organizada para discutir los riesgos y posibles escenarios del acuerdo comercial de Norteam\u00e9rica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Incertidumbre frena inversiones<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mario Dipp N\u00fa\u00f1ez, docente de Posgrado y director de CETYS Universidad Campus Mexicali, explic\u00f3 que una revisi\u00f3n frecuente del tratado genera incertidumbre entre los inversionistas, quienes necesitan condiciones estables para desarrollar proyectos de largo plazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tambi\u00e9n advirti\u00f3 que el distanciamiento pol\u00edtico y comercial entre Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 podr\u00eda debilitar la posici\u00f3n de M\u00e9xico en las negociaciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por su parte, Alfredo Valadez Garc\u00eda, docente de la Escuela de Administraci\u00f3n y Negocios de CETYS Campus Tijuana, se\u00f1al\u00f3 que el d\u00e9ficit comercial estadounidense no puede reducirse en el corto plazo sin realizar cambios estructurales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indic\u00f3 que las exportaciones mexicanas del sector automotriz disminuyeron 9.2% entre junio de 2025 y junio de 2026, mientras que las ventas dirigidas espec\u00edficamente a Estados Unidos registraron una ca\u00edda de 5.2%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tres escenarios para el tratado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los especialistas plantearon tres posibles escenarios para el futuro del T-MEC:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>El fortalecimiento de la integraci\u00f3n regional para construir un bloque econ\u00f3mico m\u00e1s competitivo.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Una versi\u00f3n limitada del tratado, sometida a revisiones constantes que podr\u00edan frenar las inversiones.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La fragmentaci\u00f3n del acuerdo mediante nuevos aranceles, normas, restricciones y controles comerciales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dipp N\u00fa\u00f1ez consider\u00f3 que Norteam\u00e9rica todav\u00eda no aprovecha completamente sus ventajas productivas. Explic\u00f3 que la regi\u00f3n podr\u00eda alcanzar mayor autosuficiencia si M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 respetaran las capacidades y ventajas econ\u00f3micas de cada pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sin embargo, anticip\u00f3 que las negociaciones podr\u00edan complicarse por las elecciones intermedias de Estados Unidos de noviembre de 2026 y por el contexto pol\u00edtico y de seguridad que enfrenta M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Valadez Garc\u00eda confi\u00f3 en que la integraci\u00f3n regional siga siendo el escenario m\u00e1s probable, aunque sostuvo que M\u00e9xico debe fortalecer su econom\u00eda mediante inversiones en educaci\u00f3n, infraestructura y actividades que generen mayor valor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cEl objetivo es no aportar mano de obra barata, sino mano de obra productiva\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los expertos concluyeron que M\u00e9xico debe mantener la integraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica con Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1, pero tambi\u00e9n impulsar la inversi\u00f3n nacional, fortalecer el Estado de derecho y diversificar sus relaciones comerciales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Adem\u00e1s, destacaron que el pa\u00eds cuenta con una amplia red de tratados internacionales que puede aprovechar para reducir su dependencia del mercado estadounidense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ensenada, Baja California.- El futuro del Tratado entre M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 (T-MEC) atraviesa&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2999422,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,73,879],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2999421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","category-deportebajacalifornia","category-cetys-universidad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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